“But in all my
experience, I have never been in any accident… of any sort worth speaking about.
I have seen but one vessel in distress in all my years at sea. I never saw a
wreck and never had been wrecked nor was I ever in any predicament that
threatened to end in disaster of any sort.”—Captain E.J. Smith, 1907.
Able and esteemed
Captain Smith was to go on to be awarded, five years, later the command of the RMS
Titanic, of which we all know what happened.
Walter Lord’s masterly
volume A Night to Remember [1955] breaks down minute by minute the
catalog of small errors that led to large-scale catastrophe.
Captain Smith was no amateur,
no weekend sailor, no bumbler; he was an experienced seaman, well-trained and
more than equipped to handle a transatlantic voyage.
Chance/Fate can and
does always rear its head to render diligent preparation minuscule, but in the
case of the RMS Titanic and many other incidences large and small, it is
less an encounter with large chance encounters [an iceberg] than it is the
failure to remain in a prepared state for small deviations by sheer dint of
resting on our laurels of long-experience.
Complacency can set in
after long trends of “no worries.”
This is
often referred to as The
Turkey Problem.
The instructive fable
goes, that the turkey lives a pampered life on the turkey farm. The farmer solicitously
sees to his needs each and every day, with ample food, and comfortable shelter.
Day in, day out, 364 days of bliss.
To the turkey, all is
coming up roses with a trendline of serene complacency.
What the turkey does
not know is that the 365th day is Thanksgiving.
State
& Gear-Dependent Complacency
We can be lulled to
Captain Smith/Thanksgiving Turkey levels of complacency not just by, “Well,
it hasn’t happened in all my experience, so, I must be doing something right,
and likely we’re good to go.”
We can remain trained
and diligent within our domain, but perhaps become a bit state-dependent, a bit
gear-dependent and wind up being woefully unprepared for hazards very similar
to what we train for in the first place.
You Can
Train It Everyday But Still…
Newton Rhodes writing
in a 1961 issue of Underwater Magazine highlights the perils of even being
immersed [in his case, literally] daily in the hazardous environment does not
prepare one for subtle shifts in what may be required.
Mr. Rhodes relates a
tale of a scuba dive gone wrong. He and his son return to the surface and find
that their dive boat’s anchor has become unmoored, it is drifting out to
sea—they are left floating miles from shore. The decision is made, that the
father will dump tanks and swim for the ever-receding boat.
“Without slowing
his pace, he could read the dial on his waterproof watch. Muscles in his arms
and shoulders, used rarely in diving, ached with fatigue.”—Swim for Life
Rhodes account is
harrowing. He honestly relates how he contemplates letting go and sinking to
the bottom with fatigue. He relates how the ease of using dive fins in his daily
dives led to less endurance when it came time for the long swimming haul on the
surface.
So, here we have an
experienced diver, who swam daily but…the mere alteration
in circumstances of the swim altered his efficiency and effectiveness.
Add to that—swim fins
as aid to good diving—wound up with their own Peltzman Effect and limited his
zero-fin performance. [For more on the hazards of Peltzman Effects.]
Drill
Complacency
The antidote to complacency
is often assumed to be drill. Recreations of possible scenarios but…Well, let’s
leave it to General Patton to point out the shortfalls here.
“There are no
bullets in maneuvers, and things sometimes get a little dull. But play the game;
don't lie in the shade… Try, above all things, to use your imagination. Think
this is war “What would I do if that man were really shooting at me.” That is
the only chance, men, that you're going to have to practice. The next time,
maybe, there will be no umpires, and the bullets will be very real. both yours
and the enemy’s.”—Address to the Officers and Men of the Second Armored
Division, May 17, 1941
Drill must
be endured. But drill does not ensure.
What is required, and
is still not enough—is emotional content, a constant querying of realities
within the drill itself, and a vigilant varying of parameters.
Anything less is an
assumption that the Turkey Farmer is your life-long friend, or that “I swim
great with fins, no need for anything else-swimming is swimming, right?”
A Complacency
Battery
A few prods to
self-check.
·
Do you text
while driving? Do you remain attentive? Do you allow your “Well, I’ve never
had an accident” streak of turkey luck color your technique and vigilance?
·
In sparring
do you vary round times, round duration, rest duration?
·
Do you
vary glove weight? Bag weight? Mat surfaces? Weight classes?
·
Do you
handicap your sparring? Impair physical and sensory attributes? Do you
challenge balance? Do you impose cognitive load? [See our Outer Limit Program for hundreds of ideas along these valuable lines.]
·
Are your smoke
alarms up to snuff? Fire extinguishers charged and in-date? Does your family
know PASS? Do they know the “My height and out” rule? [I offer that
post-fire tragedy is too late to run this once per-month sub-three-minute test
of gear and tactical review.]
·
How’s the
air pressure in that spare tire?
·
All North
and West exits from your city are blocked—what’s the alternative exit?
·
A solar
flare or enemy directed Magnetic Pulse has knocked out satellites in your area
[or perhaps a Russian jam ala Ukraine.] What emergency numbers do you know by
heart? Do you need a GPS to get where you’re going? Will rendering a Smart Home
dumb, lower your ability-IQ as well? [Technology, like swim fins is mighty
useful and convenient, but let’s make sure we can swim just fine without it.]
·
If you are
a striker, how often do you program grappling into your training?
·
If a
grappler, how often do you strike?
·
Does your
PT training program for variance?
·
Do you
weight “cardio” over strength—one form of specificity is more transferable than
the other?
Obviously, we could
continue this battery—and we do just that in the No Second Chance Book of
Drill Assignments—[available only to Black Box Members] but these should be
more than enough to rouse us from Captain Smith/Thanksgiving Turkey/Skilled
Diver complacency.
[For nothing but rip-roarin’ to the point Old School tactics, historically
accurate and viciously verified see see
our RAW/Black Box Subscription Service.]
Or our The Rough and Tumble Raconteur available on all
platforms.
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